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EE

enCore Energy Corp. (EU)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue beat versus S&P Global consensus, but EPS missed due to higher operating costs and a $9.9M unrealized loss on marketable securities; GAAP revenue was $18.24M vs $11.94M consensus, while GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.13 vs -$0.02 consensus (S&P Global “Primary EPS” basis differs from GAAP) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Operationally, Q1 featured improved extraction efficiency: 130,015 lbs U3O8 extracted at $36.11/lb, deliveries of 290,000 lbs at $62.89/lb, and inventory of 153,058 lbs at $40.39/lb .
  • Strategic execution accelerated: second IX circuit at Alta Mesa doubled flow capacity to 5,000 GPM; management expects meeting 2025 deliveries without additional market purchases at current extraction rates .
  • Risks rose around internal controls and litigation: material weaknesses in ICFR persist and a federal securities class action and CEO employment arbitration were disclosed .
  • Near-term catalysts: continued wellfield buildout and licensing (Upper Spring Creek RML inclusion) could lift capture rates and reduce unit costs; loan repayment schedule and realized pricing are swing factors for cash flow .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Extraction efficiency and capacity: “our extraction process is faster than anticipated, which is expected to be positive for revenue and return on investment” (Executive Chairman, re: Alta Mesa second IX circuit) .
    • Delivery execution and contract coverage: 290,000 lbs delivered at $62.89/lb; remaining 2025 deliveries of 365,000 lbs are contracted, and at current rates the company expects no further market purchases to meet 2025 commitments .
    • Cost progress in extracted pounds: 130,015 lbs extracted and processed at $36.11/lb; extracted pounds in COGS at $45.62/lb (cash $31.26, non-cash $14.36) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability: GAAP diluted EPS -$0.13 (vs -$0.04 y/y) driven by higher operating expenses related to wellfield installations and a $9.876M unrealized loss on marketable securities; gross margin was -30.5% .
    • Cash flow headwind: operating cash flow was -$7.7M, impacted by a $12.2M cash repayment on the uranium loan during Q1 .
    • Controls and legal overhang: management determined disclosure controls were not yet effective due to material weaknesses in ICFR; a federal securities class action and CEO arbitration add uncertainty and potential costs .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$30.394 $13.362*$18.239
Diluted EPS (GAAP)-$0.04 -$0.17*-$0.13
Gross Margin (%)-16.84%*-261.46%*-30.52%*
EBITDA Margin (%)-37.93%*N/M*-79.37%*
  • Notes: Q4 2024 values marked with * and the margin rows are Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Operational KPIs

KPI (Quarter)Q1 2025
U3O8 extracted (lbs)130,015
Extraction cost per lb (extracted)$36.11
Pounds delivered290,000
Average realized price ($/lb)$62.89
Cost of delivered pounds ($/lb)$62.97
Inventory (lbs)153,058
Inventory cost per lb$40.39
Operating cash flow-$7.735M
Cash and equivalents$29.704M
Working capital$35.677M

Estimate vs. Actual (S&P Global vs Company)

Metric (Q1 2025)ConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD)$11.94M$18.239M
Primary EPS-$0.0202-$0.0754
  • Notes: Values retrieved from S&P Global.* Company-reported GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.13 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/UpdateChange
Contracted deliveries (remaining)FY 2025N/A365,000 lbs remaining in 2025 commitments New detail
2025 sourcing to meet commitmentsFY 2025N/AAt current extraction rates, expects no additional market purchases needed in 2025 Positive update
Uranium loan repaymentDue 6/27/2025Prior schedule100,000 lbs equivalent at $100.54/lb (cash, uranium, or combo) per amended schedule Schedule updated
Permitting milestone2025N/AUpper Spring Creek added to Rosita RML; construction of wellfields and satellite IX plant authorized Operational capacity enhanced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current PeriodTrend
Extraction ramp and IX capacityFY’24: two CPPs restarted; 288,589 lbs captured on IX in 2024 (largest U.S. producer) Second IX circuit at Alta Mesa live; total 5,000 GPM; steep decline curve enables faster capture Increasing capacity and speed
Contracting and deliveriesAs of 12/31/24: 8.30M lbs committed 2025–2033; mixed pricing structures 14 agreements; 8.315M lbs total commitments; accelerated Aug’25 delivery to May due to capture Slightly higher commitments; schedule flexibility
Permitting/regulatoryDewey-Burdock licenses renewed/appeals progressing Upper Spring Creek included in Rosita RML; construction to commence Permitting momentum
Cost trajectory2024 extracted cost ~$40.57/lb (non-GAAP) Q1 extracted cost $36.11/lb; extracted COGS $45.62/lb (cash $31.26) Improving extracted cost; mix/delivered cost elevated by purchased pounds
Controls & legalN/AMaterial weaknesses in ICFR persist; securities class action; CEO arbitration Elevated governance/legal risk
Macro/tariffsGovernment and market updates highlighted; policy/tariff shifts noted Continuing policy volatility and supply dynamics Persistent external uncertainty

Management Commentary

  • “At the Alta Mesa CPP, we have learned that our extraction process is faster than anticipated, which is expected to be positive for revenue and return on investment.” — Executive Chairman, on second IX circuit and wellfield expansion .
  • “The improvements at the Alta Mesa CPP are the result of a true team effort… we look forward to steady advancement of our uranium capture rates.” — Executive Chairman, April operational update .
  • “Wellfield development continues to show positive results… the current rate of under two days per installed well is the best in the Company’s history at the Alta Mesa Project.” — Operational optimization update .

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript was found for Q1 2025; therefore, there are no Q&A highlights available from management in our document set.

Estimates Context

  • Results vs. S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat ($18.24M vs $11.94M) on stronger deliveries and realized pricing, while EPS missed (S&P “Primary EPS” actual -$0.075 vs -$0.020 consensus) due to higher operating expenses and a $9.876M unrealized loss on marketable securities . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Basis note: Company GAAP diluted EPS was -$0.13, which differs from S&P’s “Primary EPS” methodology; investors should align future estimate tracking with the preferred EPS basis to avoid apples-to-oranges comparisons .
  • Estimate revisions: Given improved extraction and capacity, revenue estimates may drift higher; however, margin and EPS trajectories will depend on delivered mix (purchased vs extracted), non-cash depletion, OpEx from wellfield installations, and marketable securities volatility .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue outperformed consensus; the top-line outlook benefits from ramping extraction and expanded IX capacity, but EPS leverage remains constrained by unit costs, OpEx, and non-cash items .
  • Unit cost trajectory is improving on extracted pounds ($36.11/lb), but delivered costs still reflect purchased inventory; increasing the fraction of extracted deliveries should narrow the gap over 2025 .
  • Cash flow watch items: uranium loan repayment schedule (through 6/27/25), realized prices vs contract mix, and wellfield capex/installation pace; Q1 operating cash flow was negative due to loan repayment .
  • Execution catalysts: continued wellfield expansion, faster capture rates, and Upper Spring Creek RML inclusion enabling new satellite IX capacity tied to Rosita .
  • Risk balance: material weaknesses in ICFR and ongoing litigation elevate governance and legal risk premiums; progress on remediation and case outcomes will influence multiples .
  • Contracted base supports visibility: 8.315M lbs in commitments and 365k lbs remaining in 2025 deliveries underpin volumes; management expects no market purchases to meet 2025 at current extraction rates .
  • Stock drivers: proof of sustained extraction rates without purchasing, cost reductions from mix shift, and clean ICFR audit opinions are likely to be inflection points for sentiment and valuation .

Supporting Detail: Non-GAAP Cost Tables (Company)

  • Total costs of U3O8 sold in Q1-2025: 290,000 lbs at $62.97/lb; purchased 216,289 lbs at $68.89/lb; extracted cost $45.62/lb (cash $31.26; non-cash $14.36) .
  • Inventory at Q1 close: 153,058 lbs at $40.39/lb (purchased 28,711 lbs at $59.80/lb; extracted 124,347 lbs at $35.91/lb; extracted cash cost $22.99; non-cash $12.91) .

Additional Context

  • Sales mix and pricing: Q1 volumes 290,000 lbs vs 320,000 lbs y/y; realized price $62.89/lb vs $94.98/lb y/y (commodity-driven decline) .
  • Management changes/oversight: acting CEO appointment; special committee of the Board to oversee operations and performance .

Citations:

  • Q1 2025 8-K and PR:
  • Q1 2025 10-Q and MD&A:
  • FY 2024 PR (context):
  • Operational PRs (IX circuit, extraction ramp, wellfield expansion):
  • Upper Spring Creek RML inclusion PR:

(*) Values retrieved from S&P Global.